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🎯 Main Points

Risk Assessment ⚠️📊

PSY513 - Forensic Psychology

🔑 Key Definitions

Risk Assessment ⚠️: Process of evaluating likelihood of future violent/harmful behavior
Static Risk Factors 🔒: Historical factors that CANNOT change (gender, age at first offense, criminal history)
Dynamic Risk Factors 🔄: Changeable factors that can be targeted in treatment

🛠️ 4 Major Risk Assessment Tools

  • HCR-20 - 20 items: Historical (10) + Clinical (5) + Risk Management (5). Widely used internationally.
  • VRAG - Actuarial, 12 items, includes PCL-R, predicts violent recidivism
  • Static-99 - For SEXUAL offenders, 10 static items, quick to score
  • SAVRY - For ADOLESCENTS, 24 risk + 6 protective factors

🔒 7 Static Risk Factors

  • 1. Gender (males higher)
  • 2. Age at first offense (earlier = higher)
  • 3. Criminal history
  • 4. History of violence
  • 5. Childhood abuse
  • 6. Early separation from parents
  • 7. Personality disorder (especially ASPD)

🔄 8 Dynamic Risk Factors

  • 1. Substance abuse
  • 2. Unemployment
  • 3. Housing instability
  • 4. Antisocial peers
  • 5. Relationship problems
  • 6. Anger/hostility
  • 7. Criminal attitudes
  • 8. Medication non-compliance

💡 Exam Tips

  • HCR-20 = Historical-Clinical-Risk Management (10-5-5 items)
  • Static-99 = SEXUAL offenders; SAVRY = ADOLESCENTS
  • ACTUARIAL approach is generally MORE ACCURATE but cannot adjust for unique factors
  • Structured Professional Judgment = best of both (actuarial + clinical)
  • Limitations: Only PROBABILITIES, base rate problem, false positives/negatives
  • Protective factors: Social support, stable employment, older age, treatment engagement